The following was written by a group of developers in the city
of Monroe.
"A jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise. At present, the nearest jazz club is
over 60 miles away from Monroe; thus, our proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself. In addition, there is ample evidence
of the popularity of jazz in Monroe: over 100,000 people attended Monroe's jazz
festival last summer, several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe, and the
highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz nightly.' Finally, a nationwide study
indicates that the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz
entertainment. We
therefore predict that the C Note cannot help but make money."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be
answered in order to decide whether the prediction and the argument on which it
is based are reasonable. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions
would help to evaluate the prediction.
The statement written by a group
of developers in the city of Monroe states that a jazz music club would be more
profitable enterprise, the author draws evidence from the last year
participation of the umpteen numbers of people. Additionally he supports his
argument highest radio rated program. Although the claim seems convincing at
first, however close scrutiny reveals that there are several flaws in the
argument, and it fails to provide logical reasoning to believe whether it would
be profitable to set up a jazz music club.
The first claim by the author
states that a jazz music club would be more profitable enterprise. The author
concludes it on the basis of very trifling reason. First of all he has not
mentioned whether people of the area are financially strong enough to bear the
cost of the Jazz club. They may be interested in Jazz however they can use DVDs
or any other storage material as a substitute.
Secondly, the author has not
mentioned if any other club was being set earlier or not. We do not find any
evidence of why there has not been any club before. There are various options
may be there was a club which failed to operate or there has not been ever a
single club. There could be many reasoning for the absence of a jazz club for
last many years which the author has not given a heed to depict.
The C type which they suggest to
be build is not going to have market. Albeit the author wants to convince us on
the basis of the point that since there were so many participant in the last
summer festival of Jazz therefore it would also increase audience. We do not know
exactly whether the audience was all locals of the same area or visitors. If they
were visitors we cannot claim that we can have same rush in the club.
The statistics shown that on an
average the amount spent is $ 1000. Spending this much amount on Jazz entertainment
does not mean they are going to spend enough on club. May be they spend this
much amount Jazz CDs or DVD.
To sum up with, the author has
not clearly developed a logical reasoning in support of setting up a Jazz Club
in Monroe. More scholarship is required claim whether setting a Jazz Morose
will create local market or not.
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